Common structure in panels of short ecological time-series

被引:14
|
作者
Yao, QW
Tong, H
Finkenstädt, B
Stenseth, NC [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Oslo, Dept Biol, Div Zool, N-0316 Oslo, Norway
[2] London Sch Econ, Dept Stat, London WC2A 2AE, England
[3] Univ Hong Kong, Dept Stat & Actuarial Sci, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
[4] Univ Warwick, Dept Stat, Coventry CV4 7AL, W Midlands, England
关键词
bootstrap; Canadian mink-muskrat data; nonlinear time-series; predator-prey interactions; similarity measure; threshold modelling;
D O I
10.1098/rspb.2000.1306
中图分类号
Q [生物科学];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Typically, in many studies in ecology, epidemiology, biomedicine and others, we are confronted with panels of short time-series of which we are interested in obtaining a biologically meaningful grouping. Here, we propose a bootstrap approach to test whether the regression functions or the variances of the error terms in a family of stochastic regression models are the same. Our general setting includes panels of time-series models as a special case. We rigorously justify the use of the test by investigating its asymptotic properties, both theoretically and through simulations. The latter confirm that for finite sample size, bootstrap provides a better approximation than classical asymptotic theory. We then apply the proposed tests to the mink-muskrat data across 81 trapping regions in Canada. Ecologically interpretable groupings are obtained, which serve as a necessary first step before a fuller biological and statistical analysis of the food chain interaction.
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页码:2459 / 2467
页数:9
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