Highly accurate energy consumption forecasting model based on parallel LSTM neural networks

被引:87
|
作者
Jin, Ning [1 ]
Yang, Fan [1 ]
Mo, Yuchang [2 ]
Zeng, Yongkang [1 ]
Zhou, Xiaokang [3 ,4 ]
Yan, Ke [5 ]
Ma, Xiang [1 ]
机构
[1] China Jiliang Univ, Coll Informat Engn, Key Lab Electromagnet Wave Informat Technol & Met, Hangzhou 310018, Peoples R China
[2] Huaqiao Univ, Fujian Prov Univ Key Lab Computat Sci, Sch Math Sci, Quanzhou 362021, Peoples R China
[3] Shiga Univ, Fac Data Sci, Hikone 5228522, Japan
[4] RIKEN, Ctr Adv Intelligence Project, Tokyo 1030027, Japan
[5] Natl Univ Singapore, Coll Design & Engn, Singapore 117566, Singapore
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Long short term memory; Energy consumption; Time series data analysis; Forecasting; Singular spectrum analysis; PREDICTION;
D O I
10.1016/j.aei.2021.101442
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
The main challenges of the energy consumption forecasting problem are the concerns for reliability, stability, efficiency and accuracy of the forecasting methods. The existing forecasting models suffer from the volatility of the energy consumption data. It is desired for AI models that predict irregular sudden changes and capture longterm dependencies in the data. In this study, a novel hybrid AI empowered forecasting model that combines singular spectrum analysis (SSA) and parallel long short term memory (PLSTM) neural networks is proposed. The decomposition with the SSA enhanced the performance of the PLSTM network. According to the experimental results, the proposed model outperforms the state-of-the-art models at different time intervals in terms of both prediction accuracy and computational efficiency.
引用
收藏
页数:13
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