Prediction of Vegetable Supply in Henan Province Based on PSO-GM (1, N) Model

被引:1
|
作者
Guo, Xueqiang [1 ]
Li, Bingjun [2 ]
机构
[1] Henan Agr Univ, Coll Mech & Elect Engn, Zhengzhou 450002, Peoples R China
[2] Henan Agr Univ, Coll Informat & Management Sci, Zhengzhou 450046, Peoples R China
关键词
D O I
10.1155/2021/7874564
中图分类号
O1 [数学];
学科分类号
0701 ; 070101 ;
摘要
GM (1, N) model is one of the grey prediction models considering the influence of many factors. This paper improves GM (1, N) model and constructs PSO-GM (1, N) model. Firstly, Lasso method is used to select the influencing factors, then the priority of influencing factors and the value of parameter N in GM (1, N) model are determined, and finally PSO method is used to optimize GM (1, N) model. Taking the vegetable supply in Henan Province as the research object, this paper makes an empirical test by using PSO-GM (1, N) model. The results show that the key factors affecting the vegetable supply in Henan Province are the number of rural employees, highway mileage, and application of pesticide. The vegetable supply in Henan Province will continue to show a steady growth trend in the next three years.
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页数:7
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