EXPORTING OUT OF AGRICULTURE: THE IMPACT OF WTO ACCESSION ON STRUCTURAL TRANSFORMATION IN CHINA

被引：38

作者：

Erten, Bilge ^{[1
]}

Leight, Jessica ^{[2
]}

机构：

[1] Northeastern Univ, Boston, MA 02115 USA

[2] Int Food Policy Res Inst, Washington, DC USA

来源：

REVIEW OF ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS | 2021年 / 103卷 / 02期

关键词：

TRADE LIBERALIZATION; POLICY UNCERTAINTY; IMPORT COMPETITION; PRODUCTIVITY; INVESTMENT; POVERTY; GROWTH; REFORM;

D O I：

10.1162/rest_a_00852

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

This paper analyzes the effect of China's accession to the World Trade Organization in 2001 on structural transformation at the local level, exploiting cross-sectional variation in tariff uncertainty faced by county economies pre-2001. Using a new panel of 1,800 Chinese counties from 1996 to 2013, we find that counties more exposed to the reduction in tariff uncertainty postaccession are characterized by increased exports and foreign direct investment, shrinking agricultural sectors, expanding secondary sectors, and higher total and per capita GDP. In addition, when labor substitutes from nonagricultural to agricultural production in counties exposed to positive trade shocks, agricultural output declines.

引用

页码：364 / 380

页数：17

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