THE PORTABILITY OF ALTMAN'S Z-SCORE MODEL TO PREDICTING CORPORATE FINANCIAL DISTRESS OF SLOVAK COMPANIES

被引:30
|
作者
Bod'a, Martin [1 ]
Uradnicek, Vladimir [1 ]
机构
[1] Matej Bel Univ Banska Bystrica, Quantitat Methods & Informat Syst Dept, Fac Econ, Tajovskeho 10, Banska Bystrica 97590, Slovakia
关键词
Altman's bankruptcy formula; Slovak enterprises; financial distress; classification accuracy; true positive rate; BANKRUPTCY MODELS;
D O I
10.3846/20294913.2016.1197165
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
The paper challenges the widespread use of Altman's bankruptcy formula known as the "Z-score model" in Slovak corporate practice and comes with the goal to verify its usability in the Slovak economic environment. To this end, a definition of financial distress is adopted that summarizes weaknesses of Slovak enterprises stemming particularly from liquidity drain and operating losses. The verification juxtaposes three variants of the Z-score model and assesses their prediction ability using a data set of Slovak enterprises for the period from 2009 until 2013. Both the original 1968 Z-score model and the revised 1983 Z-score devised for the US economic environment are compared with the Z-score model re-estimated to the Slovak data copying the methodological procedure of Altman. The results indicate that Altman's bankruptcy formula is portable into the Slovak economic conditions and useful for predicting financial difficulties in view of the adopted definition of financial distress. Altman's original and (especially the) revised formulation of the Z-score model are preferable if overall classification accuracy is the main interest. Finally, it is advisable to re-estimate the coefficients of the Z-score model if financially distressed enterprises are the focus and the goal is to classify distressed enterprises as best as possible.
引用
收藏
页码:532 / 553
页数:22
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