A fractional-order model for CoViD-19 dynamics with reinfection and the importance of quarantine

被引:11
|
作者
de Carvalho, Joao P. S. Mauricio [1 ]
Moreira-Pinto, Beatriz [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Porto, Fac Sci, Rua Campo Alegre S-N, P-4169007 Porto, Portugal
[2] Univ Porto, Fac Pharm, REQUIMTE, UCIBIO, Rua Jorge Viterdo Ferreira 228, P-4050313 Porto, Portugal
关键词
COVID-19; Reinfection; Mathematical model; Epidemic model; Fractional calculus;
D O I
10.1016/j.chaos.2021.111275
中图分类号
O1 [数学];
学科分类号
0701 ; 070101 ;
摘要
Coronavirus disease 2019 (CoViD-19) is an infectious disease caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Among many symptoms, cough, fever and tiredness are the most common. People over 60 years old and with associated comorbidities are most likely to develop a worsening health condition. This paper proposes a non-integer order model to describe the dynamics of CoViD-19 in a standard population. The model incorporates the reinfection rate in the individuals recovered from the disease. Numerical simulations are performed for different values of the order of the fractional derivative and of reinfection rate. The results are discussed from a biological point of view. (c) 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
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页数:7
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