Modeling COVID-19 infection in a confined space

被引：13
|
作者：
Yan, Zishuo [1 ]
Lan, Yueheng [2 ]
机构：
[1] Beijing Univ Posts & Telecommun, Sch Sci, Beijing 100876, Peoples R China
[2] Beijing Univ Posts & Telecommun, State Key Lab Informat Photon & Optic Commun, Sch Sci, Beijing 100876, Peoples R China
来源：
NONLINEAR DYNAMICS | 2020年 / 101卷 / 03期
基金：
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词：
2019-nCoV; Stochastic model; Epidemic prevention and control; Confined space; TRANSMISSION; WUHAN;
D O I：
10.1007/s11071-020-05802-4
中图分类号：
TH [机械、仪表工业];
学科分类号：
0802 ;
摘要：
In this paper, we construct a stochastic model of the 2019-nCoV transmission in a confined space, which gives a detailed account of the interaction between the spreading virus and mobile individuals. Different aspects of the interaction at mesoscopic level, such as the human motion, the shedding and spreading of the virus, its contamination and invasion of the human body and the response of the human immune system, are touched upon in the model, their relative importance during the course of infection being evaluated. The model provides a bridge linking the epidemic statistics to the physiological parameters of individuals and may serve a theoretical guidance for epidemic prevention and control.
引用
收藏
页码：1643 / 1651
页数：9
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