Optimization of clinical dosing schedule to manage neutropenia: learnings from semi-mechanistic modeling simulation approach

Neutropenia is a common side-effect of oncology drugs. We aimed to study the impact of exposure and dosing schedule on neutropenia to guide selection of dosing schedules that minimize neutropenia potential while maintaining the desired minimum concentration (C-min) required for target engagement. Dose, frequency and PK parameters were chosen for five hypothetical drugs of various half-lives to (1) achieve same exposure with continuous dosing and evaluate impact of 4 intermittent dosing schedules; and (2) achieve same nadir for continuous and intermittent dosing and evaluate impact on % time above C-min, a surrogate assumed to indicate target engagement. Absolute neutrophil count (ANC) profiles were simulated using Friberg model, a widely used semi-mechanistic myelosuppression model, assuming drug concentration directly reduce the proliferation rate of stem cells and progenitor cells in proliferation compartment. The correlations between different PK measures and neutropenia metrics were explored. In (1), when the same daily dose was used, intermittent schedules offered better management of ANC nadir. The reduced average drug exposure with intermittent dosing led to lower% time above C-min. In (2), when the dose was adjusted to achieve the same nadir, drugs with moderate half-life (8-48 h) showed similar % time above C-min regardless of schedule, while continuous dosing was better for a short half-life (4 h). Area under the concentration curve (AUC) was highly correlated with neutropenia. In summary, continuous dosing, with the dose selected correctly, is most effective to maintain % time above C-min while providing similar tolerability as intermittent dosing with a higher dose. But dose interruptions could be required to manage individual toxicities. Intermittent schedules, on the other hand, allow recovery of ANC, enabling more orderly schedules.