Dynamics model of competitive technology innovation diffusion and its simulation

A dynamic diffusion model is presented for competitive multi-innovations. Based on this dynamic model, a multi-agent simulation model has been developed, which reveals how the investment intensity and the competition intensity impact the diffusion process. Furthermore, an empirical analysis of the diffusion of the mobile technology has been made. The parameters of the model have been estimated on the basis of historical data and numerical simulation has been carried out to show the competition relationship between the diffusion processes of the mobile technology. By comparing with the dynamic model, multi-agent model and the historical data, the result shows the effectiveness and validity of the model, it can be used for enterprise to select and adopt competitive technology for better economy benefit.