Thinking past, thinking future: An empirical test of the effects of retrospective assessment on future preferences

被引：9

作者：

Noblet, Caroline L. ^{[1
]}

Anderson, Mark W. ^{[1
]}

Teisl, Mario F. ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Maine, Sch Econ, Orono, ME 04469 USA

来源：

ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS | 2015年 / 114卷

基金：

美国国家科学基金会;

关键词：

Sustainability science; Retrospective assessment; Citizen preferences; Context dependent; BENEFIT-COST-ANALYSIS; SUSTAINABILITY;

D O I：

10.1016/j.ecolecon.2015.04.002

中图分类号：

Q14 [生态学（生物生态学）];

学科分类号：

071012 ; 0713 ;

摘要：

In recent work, we asserted that the largest group of stakeholders for sustainability science is future generations; yet intergenerational tradeoffs are often understudied. We proposed retrospective assessment as one potential means of clarifying what future preferences might be. Using a split-sample design we test the potential for retrospective assessment to influence citizens' preferences for future policy decision. We test the potential for retrospective assessment to yield increased or decreased support for policy. Our findings reveal context dependent public policy preferences where the presence of retrospective assessment significantly impacts citizens' preferences and outcomes appear strongly influenced by the attributes of the historical (or retrospective) scenario provided. (c) 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：180 / 187

页数：8

共 50 条

[1] EMPIRICAL STUDIES OF DESIGN THINKING: PAST, PRESENT, FUTURE
Cagan, Jonathan
Dinar, Mahmoud
Shah, Jami J.
Leifer, Larry
Linsey, Julie
Smith, Steven M.
Vargas-Hernandez, Noe
[J]. PROCEEDINGS OF THE ASME INTERNATIONAL DESIGN ENGINEERING TECHNICAL CONFERENCES AND COMPUTERS AND INFORMATION IN ENGINEERING CONFERENCE, 2013, VOL 5, 2014,
[2] Empirical Studies of Designer Thinking: Past, Present, and Future
Dinar, Mahmoud
Shah, Jami J.
Cagan, Jonathan
Leifer, Larry
Linsey, Julie
Smith, Steven M.
Hernandez, Noe Vargas
[J]. JOURNAL OF MECHANICAL DESIGN, 2015, 137 (02)
[3] PAST CONFERENCES, FUTURE THINKING
WILLARD, T
[J]. FUTURIST, 1986, 20 (02) : 7 - 7
[4] Thinking the Future through the Past
Tamas, Oana-Mihaela
[J]. TRANSYLVANIAN REVIEW, 2011, 20 : 11 - 13
[5] Past papers, future thinking
Epstein, Debbie
Kehily, Mary Jane
Renold, Emma
[J]. GENDER AND EDUCATION, 2007, 19 (06) : 655 - 655
[6] Eying the future: Eye movement in past and future thinking
El Haj, Mohamad
Lenoble, Quentin
[J]. CORTEX, 2018, 105 : 97 - 103
[7] Past papers, future thinking - Introduction
Epstein, Debbie
Kehily, Mary Jane
Renold, Emma
[J]. GENDER AND EDUCATION, 2008, 20 (01) : 63 - 63
[8] The Development of Asymmetries in Past and Future Thinking
Burns, Patrick
McCormack, Teresa
Jaroslawska, Agnieszka
Fitzpatrick, Aine
McGourty, Jemma
Caruso, Eugene M.
[J]. JOURNAL OF EXPERIMENTAL PSYCHOLOGY-GENERAL, 2019, 148 (02) : 272 - 288
[9] Creative Thinking Processes: The Past and the Future
Mumford, Michael D.
McIntosh, Tristan
[J]. JOURNAL OF CREATIVE BEHAVIOR, 2017, 51 (04): : 317 - 322
[10] Past, Present, and Future Financial Thinking
Sharpe, William F.
Litterman, Robert
[J]. FINANCIAL ANALYSTS JOURNAL, 2014, 70 (06) : 16 - 22

← 1 2 3 4 5 →