Solar variability and the search for corresponding climate signals

被引:9
|
作者
Mende, W [1 ]
Stellmacher, R [1 ]
机构
[1] Free Univ Berlin, D-1000 Berlin, Germany
关键词
Regression Model; Global Warming; Force Component; Climate Impact; Anthropogenic Influence;
D O I
10.1023/A:1012062710692
中图分类号
P1 [天文学];
学科分类号
0704 ;
摘要
Instrumental and paleodata from the last centuries are investigated to get circumstantial evidence for external influences on the Earth's climate machine. Such influences could be of extraterrestrial and/or anthropogenic origin. Anthropogenic influences are separated from solar on superdecadal time scales and on a hemispheric level using a non-linear regression model. The function to be explained is the northern hemispheric temperature. The model contains two forcing components explicitly: A parameterized anthropogenic component, which describes the aggregated effect of greenhouse gases, aerosols and other anthropogenic climate impacts. A solar component, which describes the solar variability history. The solution of the regression model allows, under certain assumptions, a functional separation of the variability components and provides an estimation of their relative contributions to global warming during the last 140 years.
引用
收藏
页码:295 / 306
页数:12
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