Practice and philosophy of climate model tuning across six US modeling centers

被引:101
|
作者
Schmidt, Gavin A. [1 ]
Bader, David [2 ]
Donner, Leo J. [3 ]
Elsaesser, Gregory S. [1 ,4 ]
Golaz, Jean-Christophe [2 ]
Hannay, Cecile [5 ]
Molod, Andrea [6 ]
Neale, Richard B. [5 ]
Saha, Suranjana [7 ]
机构
[1] NASA, Goddard Inst Space Studies, 2880 Broadway, New York, NY 10025 USA
[2] DOE Lawrence Livermore Natl Lab, Livermore, CA USA
[3] GFDL NOAA, Princeton Univ Forrestal Campus,201 Forrestal Rd, Princeton, NJ USA
[4] Columbia Univ, New York, NY USA
[5] NCAR, Boulder, CO USA
[6] NASA GSFC, Global Modeling & Assimilat Off, Greenbelt, MD USA
[7] NCEP NWS NOAA, Environm Modeling Ctr, NCWCP, College Pk, MD USA
关键词
GENERAL-CIRCULATION MODEL; SEA-ICE; PART I; ATMOSPHERE; OCEAN; CMIP5; PARAMETERIZATION; IMPACT; SIMULATIONS; AEROSOL;
D O I
10.5194/gmd-10-3207-2017
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
Model calibration (or "tuning") is a necessary part of developing and testing coupled ocean-atmosphere climate models regardless of their main scientific purpose. There is an increasing recognition that this process needs to become more transparent for both users of climate model output and other developers. Knowing how and why climate models are tuned and which targets are used is essential to avoiding possible misattributions of skillful predictions to data accommodation and vice versa. This paper describes the approach and practice of model tuning for the six major US climate modeling centers. While details differ among groups in terms of scientific missions, tuning targets, and tunable parameters, there is a core commonality of approaches. However, practices differ significantly on some key aspects, in particular, in the use of initialized forecast analyses as a tool, the explicit use of the historical transient record, and the use of the present-day radiative imbalance vs. the implied balance in the preindustrial era as a target.
引用
收藏
页码:3207 / 3223
页数:17
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