Influence of kidney function to the impact of acute rejection on long-term kidney transplant survival

In kidney transplantation, timing of an initial acute rejection (AR) is correlated with a variable risk of graft loss. However, it is unknown whether the increased risk for graft loss because of AR is conditioned by impaired graft function. A total of 730 cadaveric kidney transplant recipients were retrospectively evaluated from 1994 to 2001. When AR occurred, the risk ratio (RR) for graft loss was strongly time-dependent and increased, the later the rejection episode occurred. Compared with the reference group (no rejection) having an AR within 0-30, 31-365, or > 365 days post-transplant conferred a 3.1-, 9.1- and 49.3-fold risk for subsequent graft loss (P < 0.001). By including serum creatinine as an indicator for graft function at the time of rejection RR decreased to 2.4-, 7.1- and 21.8-fold, but remained still significant (P = 0.023). In conclusion, the higher risk of graft loss after late AR is not fully explained by impaired graft function measured by serum creatinine.