System dynamics simulation model for assessing socio-economic impacts of different levels of environmental flow allocation in the Weihe River Basin, China

被引：94
|
作者：
Wei, Shouke [1 ,2 ]
Yang, Hong [2 ]
Song, Jinxi [3 ,4 ]
Abbaspour, Karim C. [2 ]
Xu, Zongxue [4 ]
机构：
[1] Univ British Columbia, Dept Forest Resources Management, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z4, Canada
[2] Swiss Fed Inst Aquat Sci & Technol, CH-8600 Dubendorf, Switzerland
[3] Northwest Univ, Coll Urban & Environm Sci, Xian 710127, Peoples R China
[4] Beijing Normal Univ, Coll Water Sci, CN-100875 Beijing, Peoples R China
来源：
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH | 2012年 / 221卷 / 01期
关键词：
Environmental flow; System dynamics; Vensim; Socio-economic impact; Scenario analysis; CLIMATE-CHANGE; WATER;
D O I：
10.1016/j.ejor.2012.03.014
中图分类号：
C93 [管理学];
学科分类号：
12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;
摘要：
This study develops a complex system dynamics model (SD) reflecting interactions between water resources, Environmental Flow (EF) and socio-economy using SD software package "Vensim PLE". The proposed model is employed to assess socio-economic impacts of different levels of EF allocation in the Weihe River Basin of China. Four alternative socio-economic growth patterns and four EF allocation schemes are designed to simulate those impacts. The results reveal that developed SD model performance well in reflecting the dynamic behavior of the system in the current study area. In the meanwhile, an optimal growth pattern considering both socio-economic growth and EF requirements are also found by comparing the different scenario simulation results. (C) 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码：248 / 262
页数：15
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