Short-Term Load Forecasting with Neural Network Ensembles: A Comparative Study

被引:97
|
作者
De Felice, Matteo [1 ]
Yao, Xin [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TT, W Midlands, England
关键词
Artificial neural networks; Neural networks; Forecasting; Predictive models; Data models; Load forecasting; Computational modeling; Power system planning; SUPPORT VECTOR MACHINES;
D O I
10.1109/MCI.2011.941590
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
Load Forecasting plays a critical role in the management, scheduling and dispatching operations in power systems, and it concerns the prediction of energy demand in different time spans. In future electric grids, to achieve a greater control and flexibility than in actual electric grids, a reliable forecasting of load demand could help to avoid dispatch problems given by unexpected loads, and give vital information to make decisions on energy generation and purchase, especially market-based dynamic pricing strategies. Furthermore, accurate prediction would have a significant impact on operation management, e.g. preventing overloading and allowing an efficient energy storage. © 2011 IEEE.
引用
收藏
页码:47 / 56
页数:10
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