Implementation and validation of a Wilks-type multi-site daily precipitation generator over a typical Alpine river catchment

被引:24
|
作者
Keller, D. E. [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Fischer, A. M. [1 ]
Frei, C. [1 ]
Liniger, M. A. [1 ,3 ]
Appenzeller, C. [1 ,3 ]
Knutti, R. [2 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Fed Off Meteorol & Climatol MeteoSwiss, CH-8085 Zurich, Switzerland
[2] ETH, Inst Atmospher & Climate Sci, CH-8092 Zurich, Switzerland
[3] ETH, Ctr Climate Syst Modeling C2SM, CH-8092 Zurich, Switzerland
关键词
GENERALIZED LINEAR-MODELS; DAILY RAINFALL OCCURRENCE; HIDDEN MARKOV MODEL; CLIMATE-CHANGE; INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY; STOCHASTIC SIMULATION; TEMPERATURE; CYCLE;
D O I
10.5194/hess-19-2163-2015
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
Many climate impact assessments require high-resolution precipitation time series that have a spatiotemporal correlation structure consistent with observations, for simulating either current or future climate conditions. In this respect, weather generators (WGs) designed and calibrated for multiple sites are an appealing statistical downscaling technique to stochastically simulate multiple realisations of possible future time series consistent with the local precipitation characteristics and their expected future changes. In this study, we present the implementation and validation of a multi-site daily precipitation generator re-built after the methodology described in Wilks (1998). The generator consists of several Richardson-type WGs run with spatially correlated random number streams. This study aims at investigating the capabilities, the added value and the limitations of the precipitation generator for a typical Alpine river catchment in the Swiss Alpine region under current climate. The calibrated multi-site WG is skilful at individual sites in representing the annual cycle of the precipitation statistics, such as mean wet day frequency and intensity as well as monthly precipitation sums. It reproduces realistically the multi-day statistics such as the frequencies of dry and wet spell lengths and precipitation sums over consecutive wet days. Substantial added value is demonstrated in simulating daily areal precipitation sums in comparison to multiple WGs that lack the spatial dependency in the stochastic process. Limitations are seen in reproducing daily and multi-day extreme precipitation sums, observed variability from year to year and in reproducing long dry spell lengths. Given the performance of the presented generator, we conclude that it is a useful tool to generate precipitation series consistent with the mean climatic aspects and likely helpful to be used as a downscaling technique for climate change scenarios.
引用
收藏
页码:2163 / 2177
页数:15
相关论文
共 5 条
  • [1] A MULTI-SITE STOCHASTIC WEATHER GENERATOR FOR DAILY PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURE
    Chen, J.
    Brissette, F.
    Zhang, X. J.
    [J]. TRANSACTIONS OF THE ASABE, 2014, 57 (05) : 1375 - 1391
  • [2] Evaluation of a multi-site weather generator in simulating precipitation in the Qiantang River Basin, East China
    Yue-ping Xu
    Chong Ma
    Su-li Pan
    Qian Zhu
    Qi-hua Ran
    [J]. Journal of Zhejiang University SCIENCE A, 2014, 15 : 219 - 230
  • [3] Evaluation of a multi-site weather generator in simulating precipitation in the Qiantang River Basin, East China
    Xu, Yue-ping
    Ma, Chong
    Pan, Su-li
    Zhu, Qian
    Ran, Qi-hua
    [J]. JOURNAL OF ZHEJIANG UNIVERSITY-SCIENCE A, 2014, 15 (03): : 219 - 230
  • [4] Design, Implementation, and Validation of a Multi-Site Gaming Streaming Service Over a 5G-Enabled Platform
    Serrano, Javier
    del Rio, Alberto
    Nakimuli, Winnie
    Jimenez, David
    Garcia-Reinoso, Jaime
    Contreras, Luis M.
    Alvarez, Federico
    [J]. IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON BROADCASTING, 2022, 68 (02) : 464 - 474
  • [5] Projection of future daily precipitation series and extreme events by using a multi-site statistical downscaling model over the great Montreal area, Quebec, Canada
    Jeong, D. I.
    St-Hilaire, A.
    Ouarda, T. B. M. J.
    Gachon, P.
    [J]. HYDROLOGY RESEARCH, 2013, 44 (01): : 147 - 168