Zero air pollution and zero carbon from all energy at low cost and without blackouts in variable weather throughout the US with 100% wind-water-solar and storage

被引:40
|
作者
Jacobson, Mark Z. [1 ]
von Krauland, Anna-Katharina [1 ]
Coughlin, Stephen J. [1 ]
Palmer, Frances C. [1 ]
Smith, Miles M. [1 ]
机构
[1] Stanford Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
关键词
100% renewables; Decarbonization; Grid stability; Transmission; Extreme weather; Storage; RENEWABLE ENERGY; SUNLIGHT WWS; 139; COUNTRIES; ELECTRICITY; POWER; SYSTEM; GENERATION; TECHNOLOGIES; FEASIBILITY; PATHWAYS;
D O I
10.1016/j.renene.2021.11.067
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
This study analyzes 2050-2051 grid stability in the 50 U S. states and District of Columbia after their all sector (electricity, transportation, buildings, industry) energy is transitioned to 100% clean, renewable Wind-Water-Solar (WWS) electricity and heat plus storage and demand response (thus to zero air pollution and zero carbon). Grid stability is analyzed in five regions; six isolated states (Texas, California, Florida, New York, Alaska, Hawaii); Texas interconnected with the Midwest, and the contiguous U.S. No blackouts occur, including during summer in California or winter in Texas. No batteries with over 4-h storage are needed. Concatenating 4-h batteries provides long-duration storage. Whereas transitioning more than doubles electricity use, it reduces total end-use energy demand by-57% versus business -as usual (BAU), contributing to the 63 (43-79)% and 86 (77-90)% lower annual private and social (private + health + climate) energy costs, respectively, than BAU. Costs per unit energy in California, New York, and Texas are 11%, 21%, and 27% lower, respectively, and in Florida are 1.5% higher, when these states are interconnected regionally rather than islanded. Transitioning may create-4.7 million more permanent jobs than lost and requires only-0.29% and 0.55% of new U.S. land for footprint and spacing, respectively, less than the 1.3% occupied by the fossil industry today. (c) 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:430 / 442
页数:13
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