Valuing the Future and Discounting in Random Environments: A Review

被引:2
|
作者
Masoliver, Jaume [1 ,2 ]
Montero, Miquel [1 ,2 ]
Perello, Josep [1 ,2 ]
Farmer, J. Doyne [3 ,4 ,5 ]
Geanakoplos, John [5 ,6 ]
机构
[1] Univ Barcelona, Dept Fis Mat Condensada, Barcelona 08028, Spain
[2] Univ Barcelona Inst Complex Syst UBICS, Barcelona 08028, Spain
[3] Oxford Martin Sch, Inst New Econ Thinking, Oxford OX1 3UQ, England
[4] Univ Oxford, Math Inst, Oxford OX2 6GG, England
[5] Santa Fe Inst, Santa Fe, NM 87501 USA
[6] Yale Univ, Dept Econ, New Heaven, CT 06511 USA
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
discounting; bond pricing; real interest rates; econophysics; TERM STRUCTURE; DISTANT FUTURE; STOCHASTIC VOLATILITY; ECONOMICS; RATES; ETHICS; EQUITY;
D O I
10.3390/e24040496
中图分类号
O4 [物理学];
学科分类号
0702 ;
摘要
We address the process of discounting in random environments, which allows valuation of the future in economic terms. We review several approaches to the problem regarding different well-established stochastic market dynamics in the continuous-time context and include the Feynman-Kac approach. We also review the relation between bond-pricing theory and discounting and introduce both the market price of risk and the risk neutral measure from an intuitive point of view devoid of excessive formalism. We provide the discount for each economic model and discuss their key results. We finally present a summary of our previous empirical studies for several countries on the long-run discount problem.
引用
收藏
页数:31
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