Real-time safety inspection and planning: A first application of the Fagan nomogram

被引:2
|
作者
Ma, Zhangming [1 ]
Chong, Heap-Yih [2 ]
Liao, Pin-Chao [3 ]
机构
[1] Tsinghua Univ, Dept Construct Management, West Main Bldg 3-405, Beijing, Peoples R China
[2] Curtin Univ, Sch Design & Built Environm, Bentley Campus 201-312H,GPO Box U1987, Perth, WA 6845, Australia
[3] Tsinghua Univ, Dept Construct Management, West Main Bldg 3-405D, Beijing, Peoples R China
基金
国家重点研发计划; 中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Fagan nomogram; safety inspection; Bayesian parameter estimation; construction site; case study; CONSTRUCTION SITES; LIKELIHOOD RATIOS; RISK ANALYSIS; NETWORK; MODEL; MANAGEMENT; BEHAVIOR;
D O I
10.1139/cjce-2018-0500
中图分类号
TU [建筑科学];
学科分类号
0813 ;
摘要
The Fagan nomogram is a graphical tool used for clinical diagnosis and treatment. Considering the similarities between safety inspections and disease diagnosis, this study set out to apply the Fagan nomogram to construction sites with a goal of improving real-time safety inspection and planning. First, the basic principle of the Fagan nomogram was analyzed to determine its applicability. Then, the quantitative relationships between related risks were calculated using the Fagan nomogram. Subsequently, the results were compared with those obtained by Bayesian parameter estimation. A case study was then undertaken to enhance the understanding of its usage and the results were validated through a focus group interview. As a result, the Fagan nomogram was proven to be an effective method for quantifying the causal relationships and risk probability for safety risks, making it a new, simple, and accurate graphical approach for future real-time safety inspections and planning on a construction site.
引用
收藏
页码:438 / 449
页数:12
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