critical care triage;
intensive care unit;
pandemic;
disaster;
H5N1;
ALLOCATION;
ILL;
VALIDATION;
RESOURCES;
INFECTION;
DISASTER;
SEPSIS;
RATIO;
H1N1;
D O I:
10.1001/dmp.2010.40
中图分类号:
R1 [预防医学、卫生学];
学科分类号:
1004 ;
120402 ;
摘要:
Objective: The Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score has been recommended for triage during a mass influx of critically ill patients, but it requires laboratory measurement of 4 parameters, which may be impractical with constrained resources. We hypothesized that a modified SOFA (MSOFA) score that requires only 1 laboratory measurement would predict patient outcome as effectively as the SOFA score. Methods: After a retrospective derivation in a prospective observational study in a 24-bed medical, surgical, and trauma intensive care unit, we determined serial SOFA and MSOFA scores on all patients admitted during the 2008 calendar year and compared the ability to predict mortality and the need for mechanical ventilation. Results: A total of 1770 patients (56% male patients) with a 30-day mortality of 10.5% were included in the study. Day 1 SOFA and MSOFA scores performed equally well at predicting mortality with an area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) of 0.83 (95% confidence interval 0.81-.85) and 0.84 (95% confidence interval 0.82-.85), respectively (P=.33 for comparison). Day 3 SOFA and MSOFA predicted mortality for the 828 patients remaining in the intensive care unit with an AUC of 0.78 and 0.79, respectively. Day 5 scores performed less well at predicting mortality. Day 1 SOFA and MSOFA predicted the need for mechanical ventilation on day 3, with an AUC of 0.83 and 0.82, respectively. Mortality for the highest category of SOFA and MSOFA score (>11 points) was 53% and 58%, respectively. Conclusions: The MSOFA predicts mortality as well as the SOFA and is easier to implement in resource-constrained settings, but using either score as a triage tool would exclude many patients who would otherwise survive. (Disaster Med Public Health Preparedness. 2010;4:277-284)
机构:
Barts NHS Hlth Trust, Royal London Hosp, Londons Air Ambulance, London, EnglandBarts NHS Hlth Trust, Royal London Hosp, Londons Air Ambulance, London, England
机构:
Inst Nacl Ciencias Med & Nutr Salvador Zubiran, Dept Terapia Intens, Mexico City 14000, DF, Mexico
Inst Nacl Cancerol, Dept Terapia Intens, Mexico City, DF, MexicoInst Nacl Ciencias Med & Nutr Salvador Zubiran, Dept Terapia Intens, Mexico City 14000, DF, Mexico
Namendys-Silva, S. A.
Silva-Medina, M. A.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Inst Nacl Ciencias Med & Nutr Salvador Zubiran, Dept Terapia Intens, Mexico City 14000, DF, MexicoInst Nacl Ciencias Med & Nutr Salvador Zubiran, Dept Terapia Intens, Mexico City 14000, DF, Mexico
Silva-Medina, M. A.
Vasquez-Barahona, G. M.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Inst Nacl Ciencias Med & Nutr Salvador Zubiran, Dept Terapia Intens, Mexico City 14000, DF, MexicoInst Nacl Ciencias Med & Nutr Salvador Zubiran, Dept Terapia Intens, Mexico City 14000, DF, Mexico
Vasquez-Barahona, G. M.
Baltazar-Torres, J. A.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Inst Nacl Ciencias Med & Nutr Salvador Zubiran, Dept Terapia Intens, Mexico City 14000, DF, MexicoInst Nacl Ciencias Med & Nutr Salvador Zubiran, Dept Terapia Intens, Mexico City 14000, DF, Mexico
Baltazar-Torres, J. A.
Rivero-Sigarroa, E.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Inst Nacl Ciencias Med & Nutr Salvador Zubiran, Dept Terapia Intens, Mexico City 14000, DF, MexicoInst Nacl Ciencias Med & Nutr Salvador Zubiran, Dept Terapia Intens, Mexico City 14000, DF, Mexico
Rivero-Sigarroa, E.
Fonseca-Lazcano, J. A.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Inst Nacl Ciencias Med & Nutr Salvador Zubiran, Dept Terapia Intens, Mexico City 14000, DF, MexicoInst Nacl Ciencias Med & Nutr Salvador Zubiran, Dept Terapia Intens, Mexico City 14000, DF, Mexico
Fonseca-Lazcano, J. A.
Dominguez-Cherit, G.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Inst Nacl Ciencias Med & Nutr Salvador Zubiran, Subdirecc Med Crit, Mexico City 14000, DF, MexicoInst Nacl Ciencias Med & Nutr Salvador Zubiran, Dept Terapia Intens, Mexico City 14000, DF, Mexico
机构:
Escola Bahiana Med & Saude Publ EBMSP, Salvador, BA, BrazilEscola Bahiana Med & Saude Publ EBMSP, Salvador, BA, Brazil
Telles, Gabriel Pineiro
Brige Ferreira, Isabella Bonifacio
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Estado Bahia UNEB, Salvador, BA, BrazilEscola Bahiana Med & Saude Publ EBMSP, Salvador, BA, Brazil
Brige Ferreira, Isabella Bonifacio
de Menezes, Rodrigo Carvalho
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Uniao Metropolitana Desenvolvimento Educ & Cultur, Salvador, BA, BrazilEscola Bahiana Med & Saude Publ EBMSP, Salvador, BA, Brazil
de Menezes, Rodrigo Carvalho
do Carmo, Thomas Azevedo
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Salvador UNIFACS, Salvador, BA, BrazilEscola Bahiana Med & Saude Publ EBMSP, Salvador, BA, Brazil
do Carmo, Thomas Azevedo
David Pugas, Paula Lins
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Escola Bahiana Med & Saude Publ EBMSP, Salvador, BA, BrazilEscola Bahiana Med & Saude Publ EBMSP, Salvador, BA, Brazil
David Pugas, Paula Lins
Marback, Lara Freitas
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Escola Bahiana Med & Saude Publ EBMSP, Salvador, BA, BrazilEscola Bahiana Med & Saude Publ EBMSP, Salvador, BA, Brazil
Marback, Lara Freitas
Arriaga, Maria B.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Fiocruz MS, Inst Goncalo Moniz, Salvador, BA, Brazil
Univ Fed Bahia, Fac Med Bahia, Salvador, BA, BrazilEscola Bahiana Med & Saude Publ EBMSP, Salvador, BA, Brazil
Arriaga, Maria B.
Fukutani, Kiyoshi F.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Fiocruz MS, Inst Goncalo Moniz, Salvador, BA, BrazilEscola Bahiana Med & Saude Publ EBMSP, Salvador, BA, Brazil
Fukutani, Kiyoshi F.
Pamplona Neto, Licurgo
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Hosp Cidade, Intens Care Unit, Salvador, BA, BrazilEscola Bahiana Med & Saude Publ EBMSP, Salvador, BA, Brazil
Pamplona Neto, Licurgo
Agareno, Sydney
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Hosp Cidade, Intens Care Unit, Salvador, BA, BrazilEscola Bahiana Med & Saude Publ EBMSP, Salvador, BA, Brazil
Agareno, Sydney
Akrami, Kevan M.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Fed Bahia, Fac Med Bahia, Salvador, BA, Brazil
Univ Calif San Diego, Dept Med, Div Infect Dis & Pulm Crit Care & Sleep Med, San Diego, CA 92103 USAEscola Bahiana Med & Saude Publ EBMSP, Salvador, BA, Brazil
Akrami, Kevan M.
Filgueiras Filho, Nivaldo Menezes
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Estado Bahia UNEB, Salvador, BA, Brazil
Univ Salvador UNIFACS, Salvador, BA, Brazil
Hosp Cidade, Intens Care Unit, Salvador, BA, Brazil
NEPC, Hosp Cidade, Salvador, BA, BrazilEscola Bahiana Med & Saude Publ EBMSP, Salvador, BA, Brazil
Filgueiras Filho, Nivaldo Menezes
Andrade, Bruno B.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Escola Bahiana Med & Saude Publ EBMSP, Salvador, BA, Brazil
Uniao Metropolitana Desenvolvimento Educ & Cultur, Salvador, BA, Brazil
Fiocruz MS, Inst Goncalo Moniz, Salvador, BA, Brazil
Univ Fed Bahia, Fac Med Bahia, Salvador, BA, BrazilEscola Bahiana Med & Saude Publ EBMSP, Salvador, BA, Brazil