Reliability estimation of pressurised pipelines subject to localised corrosion defects

This paper describes a probabilistic method for the assessment of the suitability of corroded pipelines under pressure loading. The method takes into account the uncertainties of the variables that influence suitability. The paper starts with a review of the various available techniques for the assessment of failure pressure of corroded pipelines and then develops a probabilistic limit state model from the available deterministic failure equations. The advanced first-order second moment method is then employed to estimate reliability. This approach is then applied to some typical examples. The results are presented in graphical form. Copyright (C) 1996 Elsevier Science Ltd.