Biofuels from agricultural biomass in Zimbabwe: Feedstock availability and energy potential

被引：12
|
作者：
Maqhuzu, Andile B. [1 ]
Yoshikawa, Kunio [1 ]
Takahashi, Fumitake [1 ]
机构：
[1] Tokyo Inst Technol, Midori Ku, G5-6,4259 Nagatsuta, Yokohama, Kanagawa 2268502, Japan
来源：
PROCEEDINGS OF THE 9TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON APPLIED ENERGY | 2017年 / 142卷
关键词：
agricultural biomass; probability distributions; Monte Carlo; stochastic modelling; risk analysis; crop residue;
D O I：
10.1016/j.egypro.2017.12.018
中图分类号：
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号：
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要：
Crop residues and animal dung can contribute a significant portion to the biomass available for conversion to biofuels in Zimbabwe. This paper will extend a quantitative methodology involving the use of probability distributions to rigorously address uncertainty in the quantification of this biomass. The results of 100 000 Monte Carlo simulations using Palisade's @Risk tool indicates the following at a 90% confidence interval: 2.55-5.50 million Mg/yr. of crop residue and 2.99-4.99 million Mg/yr. of dung is generated. The total exploitable energy was estimated at an annual mean of 26.6 and 16.9 million GJ for crop residue and dung respectively (C) 2017 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.
引用
收藏
页码：111 / 116
页数：6
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