Large-scale synchronized replacement of Alpha (B.1.1.7) variant by the Delta (B.1.617.2) variant of SARS-COV-2 in the COVID-19 pandemic

被引:2
|
作者
Liu, Yuan [1 ]
Feng, Anyin [1 ]
Zhao, Shi [2 ,3 ]
Wang, Weiming [4 ]
He, Daihai [1 ]
机构
[1] Hong Kong Polytech Univ, Dept Appl Math, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
[2] Chinese Univ Hong Kong, JC Sch Publ Hlth & Primary Care, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
[3] CUHK Shenzhen Res Inst, Shenzhen, Peoples R China
[4] Huaiyin Normal Univ, Sch Math & Stat, Huaian 223300, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
variants of concern; Delta (B; 1; 617; 2) variant; Alpha (B; 7) variant; synchronization; SARS-COV-2; DISEASE;
D O I
10.3934/mbe.2022165
中图分类号
Q [生物科学];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
In this work, we report a large-scale synchronized replacement pattern of the Alpha (B.1.1.7) variant by the Delta (B.1.617.2) variant of SARS-COV-2. We argue that this phenomenon is associated with the invasion timing and the transmissibility advantage of the Delta (B.1.617.2) variant. Alpha (B.1.1.7) variant skipped some countries/regions, e.g. India and neighboring countries/regions, which could have led to a mild first wave before the invasion of the Delta (B.1.617.2) variant, in term of reported COVID-deaths per capita.
引用
收藏
页码:3591 / 3596
页数:6
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