SIGNATURES OF UNIVERSAL CHARACTERISTICS OF FRACTAL FLUCTUATIONS IN GLOBAL MEAN MONTHLY TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES

被引:8
|
作者
Selvam, A. M. [1 ]
机构
[1] Indian Inst Trop Meteorol, Pune 411008, Maharashtra, India
关键词
Fractals and statistical normal distribution; golden mean and fractal fluctuations; long-range correlations and fat tail distributions; power law distributions; DETERMINISTIC CHAOS; ATMOSPHERIC FLOWS; SYSTEMS;
D O I
10.1007/s11424-011-9020-5
中图分类号
O1 [数学];
学科分类号
0701 ; 070101 ;
摘要
This paper proposes a general systems theory for fractals visualising the emergence of successively larger scale fluctuations resulting from the space-time integration of enclosed smaller scale fluctuations. Global gridded time series data sets of monthly mean temperatures for the period 1880 2007/2008 are analysed to show that data sets and corresponding power spectra exhibit distributions close to the model predicted inverse power law distribution. The model predicted and observed universal spectrum for interannual variability rules out linear secular trends in global monthly mean temperatures. Global warming results in intensification of fluctuations of all scales and manifested immediately in high frequency fluctuations.
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页码:14 / 38
页数:25
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