Are renewable energy technologies cost competitive for electricity generation?

被引:81
|
作者
Timilsina, Govinda R. [1 ]
机构
[1] World Bank Grp, Dev Res Grp, Washington, DC 20433 USA
关键词
Cost competitiveness of renewable energy; Electricity generation cost; Levelized cost of electricity; Renewable energy; Factors affecting electricity costs; SOLAR PV; ECONOMICS;
D O I
10.1016/j.renene.2021.08.088
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Renewable energy technologies (RETs), particularly solar and wind energy technologies, have experi-enced a rapid decline in their costs over the last two decades. Several studies claim that RETs are cost-competitive with fossil fuel technologies based on their levelized costs of electricity (LCOE), the most common indicator used to compare the cost competitiveness of electricity-generating technologies. However, no consensus exists due to the wide variations in factors influencing the LCOEs across countries and technologies. This study calculates more than 4000 LCOEs for 11 technologies, varying all input variables. It shows that the LCOEs for RETs, except concentrated solar and offshore wind, are lower than those for fossil fuel technologies at the lower range of capital costs and discount rates of 10% or lower. However, for a reasonable range of input variables, the study cannot justify the low auction prices for solar power, below US$20/MWh, recently observed in some parts of the world. The study illustrates how various factors influence the cost of electricity generation across technologies. It also compares the trends in electricity generation costs between RETs and fossil fuels over the last two decades. (c) 2021 Published by Elsevier Ltd.
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页码:658 / 672
页数:15
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