Amphibians;
conservation;
Data Deficient;
extinction risk;
fossil record;
prediction;
traits;
POPULATION DECLINES;
CONSERVATION STATUS;
GEOGRAPHIC RANGE;
TRAITS;
FROGS;
D O I:
10.1111/ele.13080
中图分类号:
Q14 [生态学(生物生态学)];
学科分类号:
071012 ;
0713 ;
摘要:
Bridging the gap between the fossil record and conservation biology has recently become of great interest. The enormous number of documented extinctions across different taxa can provide insights into the extinction risk of living species. However, few studies have explored this connection. We used generalised boosted modelling to analyse the impact of several traits that are assumed to influence extinction risk on the stratigraphic duration of amphibian species in the fossil record. We used this fossil-calibrated model to predict the extinction risk for living species. We observed a high consensus between our predicted species durations and the current IUCN Red List status of living amphibian species. We also found that today's Data Deficient species are mainly predicted to experience short durations, hinting at their likely high threat status. Our study suggests that the fossil record can be a suitable tool for the evaluation of current taxa-specific Red Listing status.
机构:
Univ Illinois, Earth & Environm Sci, 845 W Taylor St, Chicago, IL USAUniv Illinois, Earth & Environm Sci, 845 W Taylor St, Chicago, IL USA
Plotnick, Roy E.
Smith, Felisa A.
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h-index: 0
机构:
Univ New Mexico, Dept Biol, Albuquerque, NM 87131 USAUniv Illinois, Earth & Environm Sci, 845 W Taylor St, Chicago, IL USA
Smith, Felisa A.
Lyons, S. Kathleen
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Smithsonian Inst, Natl Museum Nat Hist, Dept Paleobiol, NHB,MRC 121, POB 37012, Washington, DC 20013 USAUniv Illinois, Earth & Environm Sci, 845 W Taylor St, Chicago, IL USA