Impact of human-human contagions in the spread of vector-borne diseases

被引:2
|
作者
Soriano-Panos, D. [1 ,2 ]
Arias-Castro, H. [3 ]
Naranjo-Mayorga, F. [4 ]
Gomez-Gardenes, J. [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Zaragoza, Dept Fis Mat Condensada, E-50009 Zaragoza, Spain
[2] Univ Zaragoza, GOTHAM Lab, Inst Biocomputac & Fis Sistemas Complejos BIFI, Zaragoza 50018, Spain
[3] Univ Valle, Dept Matemat, Santiago De Cali 25360, Colombia
[4] Univ Pedag & Tecnol Colombia, Dept Fis, Tunja 150003, Colombia
来源
EUROPEAN PHYSICAL JOURNAL-SPECIAL TOPICS | 2018年 / 227卷 / 5-6期
关键词
ZIKA VIRUS; CLIMATE-CHANGE;
D O I
10.1140/epjst/e2018-00099-3
中图分类号
O4 [物理学];
学科分类号
0702 ;
摘要
This article is aimed at proposing a generalization of the Ross-Macdonald model for the transmission of Vector-borne diseases in which human-to-human contagions are also considered. We first present this generalized model by formulating a mean field theory, checking its validity by comparing to numerical simulations. To make the premises of our model more realistic, we adapt the mean field equations to the case in which human contacts are described by a complex network. In this case we are also able to derive an analytical expression for the epidemic threshold. In both the mean-field and network-based models, we estimate the value of the epidemic threshold which corresponds to the boundary between the disease-free and epidemic regimes. The expression of this threshold allows us to discuss the impact that human-to-human contagions have on the spread of vector-borne diseases.
引用
收藏
页码:661 / 672
页数:12
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