Forecasting Infant Mortality Rate for China: A Comparison Between α-Sutte Indicator, ARIMA, and Holt-Winters

被引：7

作者：

Kurniasih, Nuning ^{[1
]}

Ahmar, Ansari Saleh ^{[2
]}

Hidayat, Dadang Rahmat ^{[1
]}

Agustin, Herlina ^{[1
]}

Rizal, Edwin ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Padjadjaran, Fac Commun Sci, Bandung 45363, Jawa Barat, Indonesia

[2] Univ Negeri Makassar, Fac Math & Nat Sci, Dept Stat, Makassar, Indonesia

来源：

2ND INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON STATISTICS, MATHEMATICS, TEACHING, AND RESEARCH 2017 | 2018年 / 1028卷

关键词：

D O I：

10.1088/1742-6596/1028/1/012195

中图分类号：

G40 [教育学];

学科分类号：

040101 ; 120403 ;

摘要：

The purpose of this study is to apply the alpha-Sutte Indicator in forecasting data. alpha-Sutte Indicator is a new forecasting method that was developed in 2017 by Ansari Saleh Ahmar To see the accuracy of these methods, the forecasting results of the alpha-Sutte Indicator will be forecasting methods compared to other items, namely: ARIMA and HoltWinters. Based on the results of forecasting, it is found that alpha-Sutte Indicator has MSE and MAPE values that are lower than other methods (ARIMA and HoltWinters). This is supported by MSE data from alpha-Sutte Indicator smaller than ARIMA(2,2,2) and HoltWinters i.e. 0.03; 3.06; and 3.15.

引用

页数：6

共 17 条

[1] The comparison of holt-winters methods and α-sutte indicator in forecasting the foreign visitor arrivals in Indonesia, Malaysia, and Japan
Tratar, Liljana Ferbar
A.S., Ahmar
[J]. Proceedings of the 15th International Symposium on Operations Research, SOR 2019, 2019, : 11 - 16
[2] INFLATION FORECASTING IN THE WESTERN BALKANS AND EU: A COMPARISON OF HOLT-WINTERS, ARIMA AND NNAR MODELS
Karadzic, Vesna
Pejovic, Bojan
[J]. AMFITEATRU ECONOMIC, 2021, 23 (57) : 517 - 532
[3] Potato Price Forecasting with Holt-Winters and ARIMA Methods: A Case Study
Sahinli, Mehmet Arif
[J]. AMERICAN JOURNAL OF POTATO RESEARCH, 2020, 97 (04) : 336 - 346
[4] Potato Price Forecasting with Holt-Winters and ARIMA Methods: A Case Study
Mehmet Arif Şahinli
[J]. American Journal of Potato Research, 2020, 97 : 336 - 346
[5] Forecasting of Sporadic Demand Patterns with Seasonality and Trend Components: An Empirical Comparison between Holt-Winters and (S)ARIMA Methods
Gamberini, Rita
Lolli, Francesco
Rimini, Bianca
Sgarbossa, Fabio
[J]. MATHEMATICAL PROBLEMS IN ENGINEERING, 2010, 2010
[6] DEMAND FORECASTING: A COMPARISON BETWEEN THE HOLT-WINTERS, TREND ANALYSIS AND DECOMPOSITION MODELS
Tirkes, Guzin
Guray, Cenk
Celebi, Nes'e
[J]. TEHNICKI VJESNIK-TECHNICAL GAZETTE, 2017, 24 : 503 - 509
[7] Comparison between SARIMA and Holt-Winters models for forecasting monthly streamflow in the western region of Cuba
Alonso Brito, Gustavo Reinel
Rivero Villaverde, Anaily
Lau Quan, Andres
Ruiz Perez, Maria Elena
[J]. SN APPLIED SCIENCES, 2021, 3 (06)
[8] Comparison of ARIMA, SutteARIMA, and Holt-Winters, and NNAR Models to Predict Food Grain in India
Ahmar, Ansari Saleh
Singh, Pawan Kumar
Ruliana, R.
Pandey, Alok Kumar
Gupta, Stuti
[J]. FORECASTING, 2023, 5 (01): : 138 - 152
[9] Aircraft Failure Rate Forecasting Method Based on Holt-Winters Seasonal Model
Yang, Yan-ming
Yu, Hui
Sun, Zhi
[J]. 2017 2ND IEEE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON CLOUD COMPUTING AND BIG DATA ANALYSIS (ICCCBDA 2017), 2017, : 520 - 524
[10] Short-Term Mobile Network Traffic Forecasting Using Seasonal ARIMA and Holt-Winters Models
Kochetkova, Irina
Kushchazli, Anna
Burtseva, Sofia
Gorshenin, Andrey
[J]. FUTURE INTERNET, 2023, 15 (09):

← 1 2 →