Five common misconceptions regarding flattening-the-curve of COVID-19

被引:4
|
作者
Daud, Auni Aslah Mat [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Malaysia Terengganu, Special Interest Grp Modelling & Data Analyt, Terengganu 21030, Malaysia
来源
关键词
Flattening the curve; Pandemic duration; Bell-shape curve; Farr's Law;
D O I
10.1007/s40656-022-00522-x
中图分类号
N09 [自然科学史]; B [哲学、宗教];
学科分类号
01 ; 0101 ; 010108 ; 060207 ; 060305 ; 0712 ;
摘要
In the fight against COVID-19 pandemic, the phrase "Flattening the curve" (FTC) has become a rallying cry, popularized by government leaders and journalist in the news and on the social media. FTC is a succinct way of communicating an important public health message that physical distancing, mask-wearing and other public health measures will decrease the peak number of cases and prevent the healthcare system from being overwhelmed. However, while the message of FTC is right in the sense that limiting transmission will reduce the peak number of cases, some visualizations used to illustrate its effect are incorrect from an infectious disease modelling point of view. The misconceptions are misinterpretations of flattened curves, the effect of FTC on the duration of the pandemic, the dynamics of the curve to be flattened, and the overestimation of the importance of FTC.
引用
收藏
页数:7
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Five common misconceptions regarding flattening-the-curve of COVID-19
    Auni Aslah Mat Daud
    [J]. History and Philosophy of the Life Sciences, 2022, 44
  • [2] Flattening the curve on Covid-19
    Roberts, Colin
    [J]. VETERINARY RECORD, 2020, 186 (19) : 652 - 652
  • [3] Flattening the curve is flattening the complexity of covid-19
    Boumans, Marcel
    [J]. HISTORY AND PHILOSOPHY OF THE LIFE SCIENCES, 2021, 43 (01):
  • [4] Flattening the curve is flattening the complexity of covid-19
    Marcel Boumans
    [J]. History and Philosophy of the Life Sciences, 2021, 43
  • [5] Flattening-the-curve associated with reduced COVID-19 case fatality rates- an ecological analysis of 65 countries
    Kenyon, Chris
    [J]. JOURNAL OF INFECTION, 2020, 81 (01) : E98 - E99
  • [6] Flattening the curve of new publications on COVID-19
    Balaphas, Alexandre
    Gkoufa, Kyriaki
    Daly, Marie-Josee
    de Valence, Timothee
    [J]. JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY AND COMMUNITY HEALTH, 2020, 74 (09): : 766 - 767
  • [7] COVID-19, flattening the curve, and Benford's law
    Lee, Kang-Bok
    Han, Sumin
    Jeong, Yeasung
    [J]. PHYSICA A-STATISTICAL MECHANICS AND ITS APPLICATIONS, 2020, 559
  • [8] Flattening the Pandemic Curve of COVID-19 Explosion in India
    Syed, Tipu Khalil
    [J]. JOURNAL OF PHARMACEUTICAL RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL, 2021, 33 (39B) : 16 - 22
  • [9] Flattening the curve of emotional distress during COVID-19
    Defenbaugh, Nicole
    Dickey, Lorraine A.
    [J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ACADEMIC MEDICINE, 2020, 6 (02) : 110 - 115
  • [10] Covid-19 and Flattening the Curve: A Feedback Control Perspective
    Di Lauro, Francesco
    Kiss, Istvan Zoltan
    Rus, Daniela
    Della Santina, Cosimo
    [J]. IEEE CONTROL SYSTEMS LETTERS, 2021, 5 (04): : 1435 - 1440