Long-term climate prediction by means of Earth rotation rate adaptive variations models

被引:0
|
作者
Tolstikov, Aleksandr S. [1 ]
Tissen, Viktor M. [1 ]
Simonova, Galina V. [2 ]
机构
[1] Fed State Unitary Enterprise Siberian State Sci R, Serv Time & Frequency, Dimitrov Prospect 4, Novosibirsk 630004, Russia
[2] SSUGT, Dept Special Devices Innovat & Metrol, Plakhotnogo 10, Novosibirsk 630108, Russia
关键词
Earth rotation; temperature; variations; modeling; cooling; natural processes;
D O I
10.1117/12.2540926
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
In the article, based on the results of assessing, the magnitude of the mutual correlation between variations in the speed of Earth rotation and the change in global temperature over the period from 1900 to 2015 the forecast of variations in the Earth's rotation speed and its temperature for a period of up to 20 years is given. The main parameter for building a prediction model is the speed of Earth rotation. It is shown that the observed global warming from the mid-20s of the current 100th anniversary is likely to enter the long cooling phase.
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页数:5
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