Response of lightning NOx emissions and ozone production to climate change: Insights from the Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate Model Intercomparison Project

被引:43
|
作者
Finney, D. L. [1 ]
Doherty, R. M. [1 ]
Wild, O. [2 ]
Young, P. J. [2 ]
Butler, A. [3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Edinburgh, Sch Geosci, Edinburgh, Midlothian, Scotland
[2] Univ Lancaster, Lancaster Environm Ctr, Lancaster, England
[3] Biomath & Stat Scotland, Edinburgh, Midlothian, Scotland
基金
英国自然环境研究理事会;
关键词
TROPOSPHERIC OZONE; GLOBAL DISTRIBUTION; OXIDE PRODUCTION; NITROGEN-OXIDES; PARAMETERIZATION; VARIABILITY; IMPACTS; SIMULATIONS;
D O I
10.1002/2016GL068825
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
Results from an ensemble of models are used to investigate the response of lightning nitrogen oxide emissions to climate change and the consequent impacts on ozone production. Most models generate lightning using a parameterization based on cloud top height. With this approach and a present-day global emission of 5 TgN, we estimate a linear response with respect to changes in global surface temperature of +0.44 +/- 0.05 TgN K-1. However, two models using alternative approaches give +0.14 and -0.55 TgN K-1 suggesting that the simulated response is highly dependent on lightning parameterization. Lightning NOx is found to have an ozone production efficiency of 6.5 +/- 4.7 times that of surface NOx sources. This wide range of efficiencies across models is partly due to the assumed vertical distribution of the lightning source and partly to the treatment of nonmethane volatile organic compound (NMVOC) chemistry. Careful consideration of the vertical distribution of emissions is needed, given its large influence on ozone production.
引用
收藏
页码:5492 / 5500
页数:9
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