Networks of causal relationships in the U.S. stock market

被引:1
|
作者
Shirokikh, Oleg [2 ]
Pastukhov, Grigory [3 ]
Semenov, Alexander [4 ]
Butenko, Sergiy [5 ]
Veremyev, Alexander [1 ]
Pasiliao, Eduardo L. [6 ]
Boginski, Vladimir [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Cent Florida, Dept Ind Engn & Management Syst, Orlando, FL 32816 USA
[2] Frontline Solver, Reno, NV USA
[3] CSX Transportat, Jacksonville, FL USA
[4] Univ Florida, Dept Ind & Syst Engn, Gainesville, FL 32611 USA
[5] Texas A&M Univ, Dept Ind & Syst Engn, College Stn, TX USA
[6] Air Force Res Lab, Munit Directorate, Eglin AFB, FL USA
来源
DEPENDENCE MODELING | 2022年 / 10卷 / 01期
关键词
network analysis; graph theory; causal market graph; Granger causality; k-core; PageRank; EVOLUTION; MODELS;
D O I
10.1515/demo-2022-0110
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
We consider a network-based framework for studying causal relationships in financial markets and demonstrate this approach by applying it to the entire U.S. stock market. Directed networks (referred to as "causal market graphs") are constructed based on publicly available stock prices time series data during 2001-2020, using Granger causality as a measure of pairwise causal relationships between all stocks. We consider the dynamics of structural properties of the constructed network snapshots, group stocks into network-based clusters, as well as identify the most "influential" market sectors via the PageRank algorithm. Interestingly, we observed drastic changes in the considered network characteristics in the years that corresponded to significant global-scale events, most notably, the financial crisis of 2008 and the COVID-19 pandemic of 2020.
引用
收藏
页码:177 / 190
页数:14
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