Assessing Financial Risk Spillover and Panic Impact of Covid-19 on European and Vietnam Stock market

被引:33
|
作者
Moslehpour, Massoud [1 ,2 ]
Al-Fadly, Ahmad [3 ]
Ehsanullah, Syed [4 ]
Chong, Kwong Wing [5 ]
Nguyen Thi My Xuyen [6 ]
Luc Phan Tan [7 ]
机构
[1] Asia Univ, Dept Business Adm, 500 Lioufeng Rd, Taichung 41354, Taiwan
[2] Calif State Univ San Bernardino, Dept Management, 5500 Univ Pkwy, San Bernardino, CA 92407 USA
[3] Gulf Univ Sci & Technol, Mubarak Al Abdullah, Kuwait
[4] Univ Utara Malaysia, Sintok, Kedah, Malaysia
[5] Taylors Coll, Sch Profess Studies, Taylors Lakeside Campus,1 Jalan Taylors, Subang Jaya 47500, Selangor, Malaysia
[6] Van Lang Univ, Fac Business Adm, 69-68 Dang Thuy Tram,Ward 13, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
[7] Thu Dau Mot Univ, Binh Duong, Vietnam
关键词
COVID-19; Vietnam and global; Stock; Markets; Systemic; Risk; CoVaR; Delta CoVaR; Connectedness;
D O I
10.1007/s11356-021-18170-2
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
This study examined the influence of tail risks on global financial markets, which aids in better understanding of the emergence of COVID-19. This study looks at the global and Vietnamese stock markets impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic to identify systemic emergencies. Risk dependent value (CoVaR) and Delta link VaR are two important tail-related risk indicators used in Conditional Bivariate Dynamic Correlation (DCC) (CoVaR). The empirical findings demonstrate that when COVID-19's worldwide spread widens, the volatility transmission of systemic risks across the global stock market and multiple exchanges shifts and becomes more relevant over time. At the time of COVID-19, the world industrial market was larger than the Vietnamese stock market, and the Vietnamese stock market posed a lesser danger to the global market. A closer examination of the link between the Vietnam value-at-risk (VaR) range index sample and the world stock index indicates a significant degree of downside risk integration in key monetary systems, particularly during the COVID-19 era. Our study findings may help regulators, politicians, and portfolio risk managers in Vietnam and worldwide during the unique moment of uncertainty created by the COVID-19 epidemic.
引用
收藏
页码:28226 / 28240
页数:15
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