Adaptive resource management and the value of information

被引:76
|
作者
Williams, Byron K. [1 ]
Eaton, Mitchell J. [2 ]
Breininger, David R. [3 ]
机构
[1] US Geol Survey, Cooperat Res Units, Reston, VA 20192 USA
[2] US Geol Survey, Patuxent Wildlife Res Ctr, Laurel, MD 20708 USA
[3] Innovat Hlth Applicat, Kennedy Space Ctr, FL 32899 USA
关键词
Value of information; Adaptive management; Structural uncertainty; Decision making; POPULATIONS;
D O I
10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2011.07.003
中图分类号
Q14 [生态学(生物生态学)];
学科分类号
071012 ; 0713 ;
摘要
The value of information is a general and broadly applicable concept that has been used for several decades to aid in making decisions in the face of uncertainty. Yet there are relatively few examples of its use in ecology and natural resources management, and almost none that are framed in terms of the future impacts of management decisions. In this paper we discuss the value of information in a context of adaptive management, in which actions are taken sequentially over a timeframe and both future resource conditions and residual uncertainties about resource responses are taken into account. Our objective is to derive the value of reducing or eliminating uncertainty in adaptive decision making. We describe several measures of the value of information, with each based on management objectives that are appropriate for adaptive management. We highlight some mathematical properties of these measures, discuss their geometries, and illustrate them with an example in natural resources management. Accounting for the value of information can help to inform decisions about whether and how much to monitor resource conditions through time. Published by Elsevier B.V.
引用
收藏
页码:3429 / 3436
页数:8
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