Rainfall and Dragon-Kings

被引:15
|
作者
Peters, O. [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Christensen, K. [4 ]
Neelin, J. D. [5 ]
机构
[1] Univ London Imperial Coll Sci Technol & Med, Dept Math, London SW7 2AZ, England
[2] Univ London Imperial Coll Sci Technol & Med, Grantham Inst Climate Change, London SW7 2AZ, England
[3] Univ Calif Los Angeles, Dept Atmospher & Ocean Sci, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USA
[4] Univ London Imperial Coll Sci Technol & Med, Dept Phys, London SW7 2AZ, England
[5] Univ Calif Los Angeles, Dept Atmospher & Ocean Sci, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USA
来源
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
CLOUD; STATISTICS; TRANSITION; CONVECTION;
D O I
10.1140/epjst/e2012-01567-5
中图分类号
O4 [物理学];
学科分类号
0702 ;
摘要
Previous studies have found broad distributions, resembling power laws for different measures of the size of rainfall events. We investigate the large-event tail of these distributions and find in one measure that tropical cyclones account for a large proportion of the very largest events outside the scaling regime, i.e., beyond the cutoff of the power law. Tropical cyclones are sufficiently rare that they contribute a significant number only in a regime of large event sizes that common rain events almost never reach. The different physical dynamics of tropical cyclones permits a substantial extension of the tail in this large-event regime.
引用
收藏
页码:147 / 158
页数:12
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