Will Water Issues Constrain Oil and Gas Production in the United States?

The rapid growth in U.S. unconventional oil and gas has made energy more available and affordable globally but brought environmental concerns, especially related to water. We analyzed the water-related sustainability of energy extraction, focusing on: (a) meeting the rapidly rising water demand for hydraulic fracturing (HF) and (b) managing rapidly growing volumes of water co-produced with oil and gas (produced water, PW). We analyzed historical (2009-2017) HF water and PW volumes in similar to 73 000 wells and projected future water volumes in major U.S. unconventional oil (semiarid regions) and gas (humid regions) plays. Results show a marked increase in HF water use, and depleting groundwater in some semiarid regions (e.g., by <= 58 ft [18 m]/year in Eagle Ford). PW from oil reservoirs (e.g., Permian) is similar to 15x higher than that from gas reservoirs (Marcellus). Water issues related to both HF water demand and PW supplies may be partially mitigated by closing the loop through reuse of PW for HF of new wells. However, projected PW volumes exceed HF water demand in semiarid Bakken (2.1x), Permian Midland (1.3x), and Delaware (3.7x) oil plays, with the Delaware oil play accounting for similar to 50% of the projected U.S. oil production. Therefore, water issues could constrain future energy production, particularly in semiarid oil plays.