Reconciling Bayesian and frequentist evidence in the point null testing problem

被引:23
|
作者
Gomez-Villegas, MA [1 ]
Sanz, L [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Complutense Madrid, Fac Matemat, Dept Estadist & Investigac Operat, E-28040 Madrid, Spain
关键词
posterior probability; p-value; point null hypothesis;
D O I
10.1007/BF02565110
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
For the point null hypothesis testing problem it is shown that, in some situations, the classical evidence against Ho, expressed in terms of the p-value, is in the range of Bayesian measures of evidence. In these situations, it is therefore possible to reconcile measures of evidence between Bayesian and frequentist approaches. More specifically, for the class of unimodal, symmetric and nonincreasing prior distributions, it is shown that the infimum of the posterior probability of H-0 is numerically equal to the p value. The discrepancy which appears in the literature dedicated to this subject until now, is due to the form of the mixed distribution and not due to its use as a prior.
引用
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页码:207 / 216
页数:10
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