Partial Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Models with Structural Breaks in Deterministic Terms

被引:8
|
作者
Kurita, Takamitsu [1 ]
Nielsen, Bent [2 ,3 ,4 ]
机构
[1] Fukuoka Univ, Fac Econ, Jonan Ku, 8-19-1 Nanakuma, Fukuoka, Fukuoka 8140180, Japan
[2] Univ Oxford, Dept Econ, Oxford OX1 1NF, England
[3] Univ Oxford, Program Econ Modelling, Oxford OX1 1NF, England
[4] Univ Oxford Nuffield Coll, Oxford OX1 1NF, England
关键词
partial cointegrated vector autoregressive models; structural breaks; deterministic terms; weak exogeneity; cointegrating rank; response surface; ERROR-CORRECTION MODELS; STOCHASTIC INTEGRALS; ASYMPTOTIC INFERENCE; WEAK EXOGENEITY; LIMIT-THEOREMS; RANK; TESTS; DISTRIBUTIONS; CONVERGENCE; PARAMETERS;
D O I
10.3390/econometrics7040042
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
This paper proposes a class of partial cointegrated models allowing for structural breaks in the deterministic terms. Moving-average representations of the models are given. It is then shown that, under the assumption of martingale difference innovations, the limit distributions of partial quasi-likelihood ratio tests for cointegrating rank have a close connection to those for standard full models. This connection facilitates a response surface analysis that is required to extract critical information about moments from large-scale simulation studies. An empirical illustration of the proposed methodology is also provided.
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页数:35
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