Why did prices rise in the 1930s?

被引:20
|
作者
Romer, CD [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Calif Berkeley, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA
来源
JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC HISTORY | 1999年 / 59卷 / 01期
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
D O I
10.1017/S0022050700022336
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Prices rose in most years between 1933 and 1941 even though output was substantially below trend. This inflation cannot be explained as simply the effect of devaluation and changes in expectations. Rather, because prewar price changes depended significantly on the growth rate of real output, the extraordinarily rapid growth after 1933 was an important force leading to inflation. At the same time, the NIRA, by encouraging minimum wages and collusive pricing arrangements, caused a crucial diminution of the usual deviation-from-trend effect. The conjunction of these forces caused inflation at a time when the U.S. economy remained depressed.
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页码:167 / 199
页数:33
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