Development of wind power forecasting system for the control area of power system in Japan

被引:0
|
作者
Aoki, Isao [1 ]
Fukuda, Hisashi [1 ]
Tanikawa, Ryoichi [1 ]
Hayasaki, Nobuyuki [1 ]
Yokotsuka, Toru [1 ]
机构
[1] ITOCHU Technosolut Corp, Chiyoda Ku, Tokyo, Japan
关键词
wind power forecasting system; physical model; statistical model;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要
Now, in Japan, the New Energy Industrial Technology Development Organization (NEDO) has been developing the system that forecasts wind power output for increasing the quantity of wind power that can be installed. In this project, ITOCHU Techno-Solutions Corporation (CTC) has developed the forecasting system for the control area of power system in Northeast region of Japan. The system mainly consists of observation data collection system and forecast calculation system. We applied a physical model and statistical models for wind power forecast. The physical model is LOCALS which is numerical weather prediction (NWP) model developed by CTC. The statistical models are model output statistics (MOS) based on linear regression. The forecast until the next day is announced at 6:00 everyday and updated every 30 minutes. The demonstration test of the system has been carried out from January of this year. In this paper, we describe the details and operational status of the system.
引用
收藏
页码:439 / 445
页数:7
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