ML-FORMER: Forecasting by Neighborhood and Long-Range Dependencies

被引:0
|
作者
Ke, Zengxiang [1 ]
Cui, Yangguang [1 ]
Li, Liying [1 ]
Wei, Tongquan [1 ]
机构
[1] East China Normal Univ, Sch Comp Sci & Technol, Shanghai, Peoples R China
关键词
Multivariate long sequence time-series forecasting; Hidden Markov model; Neural networks;
D O I
10.1007/978-3-031-15934-3_59
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
As sensors are deployed widely, collected data present features of large quantity and high dimensionality, which pose enormous challenges to multivariate long sequence time-series forecasting (MLTF). Existing methods for MLTF tasks can not efficiently capture neighborhood and long-range dependencies, resulting in low prediction accuracy. In this paper, we propose a novel multivariate long sequence time-series method, called ML-Former, that captures both neighborhood and longrange dependencies to enhance the prediction capacity. Specifically, MLFormer first conducts a time-series embedding that integrates neighborhood dependencies, positions, and timestamps. Then, it captures neighborhood and long-range dependencies by using a time-series encoderdecoder. Furthermore, an innovative loss function is designed to improve the convergence of ML-Former. Experimental results on three real-world datasets show that ML-Former reduces forecasting error by up to 35.4% compared with benchmarking methods.
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页码:716 / 727
页数:12
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