A comparative study of European earthquake loss estimation tools for a scenario in Istanbul

被引：41

作者：

Strasser, F. O. ^{[1
]}

Bommer, J. J. ^{[1
]}

Sesetyan, K. ^{[2
,3
]}

Erdik, M. ^{[2
,3
]}

Cagnan, Z. ^{[4
]}

Irizarry, J. ^{[5
]}

Goula, X. ^{[5
]}

Lucantoni, A. ^{[6
]}

Sabetta, F. ^{[6
]}

Bal, I. E. ^{[7
]}

Crowley, H. ^{[7
]}

Lindholm, C. ^{[8
]}

机构：

[1] Univ London Imperial Coll Sci Technol & Med, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, London SW7 247, England

[2] Kandilli Observ, Dept Earthquake Engn, Istanbul, Turkey

[3] Earthquake Res Inst, Istanbul, Turkey

[4] Middle E Tech Univ, Dept Civil Engn, Mersin, Turkey

[5] Inst Geol Catalunya, Barcelona, Spain

[6] Ufficio Valutaz Rischio Sismico, Dipartimento Protez Civile, Rome, Italy

[7] European Ctr Training & Res Earthquake Engn EUCEN, European Sch Adv Studies Reduct Seism Risk, ROSE Sch, Pavia, Italy

[8] NORSAR, Int Ctr Geohazards, Kjeller, Norway

来源：

JOURNAL OF EARTHQUAKE ENGINEERING | 2008年 / 12卷

关键词：

earthquake loss estimation; damage assessment; European seismic risk; Istanbul;

D O I：

10.1080/13632460802014188

中图分类号：

TU [建筑科学];

学科分类号：

0813 ;

摘要：

A damage estimation exercise has been carried out using the building stock inventory and population database of the Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality and selected European earthquake loss estimation packages: KOERILOSS, SELENA, ESCENARIS, SIGE, and DBELA. The input ground-motions, common to all models, correspond to a "credible worst case scenario'' involving the rupture of the four segments of the Main Marmara Fault closest to Istanbul in a M-w 7.5 earthquake. The aim of the exercise is to assess the applicability of the selected software packages to earthquake loss estimation in the context of rapid post-earthquake response in European urban centers. The results in terms of predicted building damage and social losses are critically compared amongst each other, as well as with the results of previous scenario-based earthquake loss assessments carried out for the study area. The key methodological aspects and data needs for European rapid post-earthquake loss estimation are thus identified.

引用

页码：246 / 256

页数：11

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