Epidemiology of COVID-19

被引:188
|
作者
Bulut, Cemal [1 ]
Kato, Yasuyuki [2 ]
机构
[1] Hlth Sci Univ, Gulhane Fac Med, Dept Infect Dis & Clin Microbiol, Ankara, Turkey
[2] Int Univ Hlth & Welf, Dept Infect Dis, Narita Hosp, Narita, Japan
关键词
SARS CoV-2; COVID-19; epidemiology; case fatality rate; transmission;
D O I
10.3906/sag-2004-172
中图分类号
R5 [内科学];
学科分类号
1002 ; 100201 ;
摘要
It seems that coronaviruses take an important place in the 21th century history. Five of seven human coronavirus was isolated in this century. Unfortunately, last three of them entered our life with a fear of outbreak, pandemic or death. Last human coronavirus which emerged world from Wuhan China, SARS CoV-2 and its clinical expression, Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) recently taken a significant place in our daily practice. Initial reports showed that, its origin was bats. It transmitted human to human by droplet and contact routes, but some doubt about airborne, fecal or intrauterine transmission also should be removed. Its R-0 value is 2.3 but it could be as high as 5.7. Its case fatality rate was 6.3, but it was different in different ages and counties, and it could be over 15%. According to early models total 10-12 weeks is required to control an outbreak in the community. While different countries show different daily case numbers, total number of case, case mortality rates or R-0, it seems they show a similar epidemic curve. Every day we learn new data about the current outbreak. Since the outbreak is not over yet, every detail should be evaluated carefully and the updates should be followed closely to monitor the epidemiological properties of COVID-19.
引用
收藏
页码:563 / 570
页数:8
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