Regional diffusion of military regimes in sub-Saharan Africa

被引：2
|
作者：
Caruso, Raul [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Pontarollo, Nicola [4 ]
Ricciuti, Roberto [5 ,6 ]
机构：
[1] Univ Cattolica Sacro Cuore, Dept Econ Policy, I-20123 Milan, Italy
[2] Univ Cattolica Sacro Cuore, CSEA, I-20123 Milan, Italy
[3] Catholic Univ Our Lady Good Counsel, CESPIC, Milan, Italy
[4] European Commiss, Joint Res Ctr, Ispra, Italy
[5] Univ Verona, Dept Econ, Via Cantarane 24, I-37129 Verona, Italy
[6] CESifo, Munich, Germany
来源：
PAPERS IN REGIONAL SCIENCE | 2020年 / 99卷 / 01期
关键词：
Military regimes; Cold War; Sub-Saharan Africa; Bayesian SAR probit model; spatial autocorrelation; FOREIGN-AID; DEMOCRATIC DOMINOES; POLITICAL-ECONOMY; MODELS; TRANSITIONS; ELECTIONS; AUTOCRACY; CONTEXT; SPREAD; PROBIT;
D O I：
10.1111/pirs.12479
中图分类号：
F [经济];
学科分类号：
02 ;
摘要：
Military dictatorships have been decreasing in number and concentrating in Africa. This paper analyses their spatial diffusion in sub-Saharan Africa between 1978 and 2014 applying a Bayesian SAR Probit regression. We find a significant and positive spatial coefficient only in the aftermath of the Cold War. This result suggests that once the global order of the Cold War vanished, geography took back its role and regional factors became crucial in shaping the institutional landscape. The evidence is interpreted in light of the patron-client approach. Among covariates, a larger manufacturing sector is associated with a smaller probability of a military regime.
引用
收藏
页码：225 / 244
页数：20
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