An Overview of Scenario Approaches: A Guide for Urban Design and Planning

被引:21
|
作者
Abou Jaoude, Grace [1 ]
Mumm, Olaf [1 ]
Carlow, Vanessa Miriam [1 ]
机构
[1] Tech Univ Carolo Wilhelmina Braunschweig, ISU Inst Sustainable Urbanism, Pockelsstr 3, D-38106 Braunschweig, Germany
关键词
scenario planning; urban futures; scenario building; uncertainty; scenario thinking; SUPPORT-SYSTEMS; TRANSPORT; POLICY; FUTURE; VISIONS; PLANS; OUTCOMES; TOOLS;
D O I
10.1177/08854122221083546
中图分类号
TU98 [区域规划、城乡规划];
学科分类号
0814 ; 082803 ; 0833 ;
摘要
Rising complexities and uncertainties have emphasized the need to employ scenario thinking in urban design and planning. While different scenario methods have been widely used across disciplines, a comprehensive review of scenario approaches in planning literature is limited. Thus, we provide an overview of scenarios and existing scenario approaches currently in practice. We also review a scenario building process to provide a guide for developing scenarios in the context of urban design and planning. The process highlights the different steps that contribute to adaptive planning and improve decision-making.
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页码:467 / 487
页数:21
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