Pitfalls in the cointegration analysis of housing prices with the macroeconomy: Evidence from OECD countries

被引:5
|
作者
Gueye, Ghislain Nono [1 ]
机构
[1] Louisiana Tech Univ, 502 West Texas Ave,Off 329, Ruston, LA 71270 USA
关键词
Housing prices; Macroeconomy; Cointegration; Vector error-correction; PANEL-DATA; REGRESSION; INFERENCE; BUBBLES; MARKET; IMPACT; TESTS;
D O I
10.1016/j.jhe.2021.101748
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We use data from 20 OECD countries to show strong evidence for the existence of cross-section dependence in international housing prices. This structural relationship is important to consider when studying housing prices panels. First, we implement first-generation tests (tests which assume cross-section independence) and find no evidence for stationarity or cointegration. However, we find strong evidence for stationarity and cointegration when we employ second-generation tests (tests which assume cross-section dependence). The spurious results of the former tests may lead researchers on housing prices dynamics to inaccurate conclusions with the potential to ill-inform policy-makers.
引用
收藏
页数:14
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