Application of stochastic methods to double cyclostationary processes for hourly wind speed simulation

被引:11
|
作者
Dimitriadis, Panayiotis [1 ]
Koutsoyiannis, Demetris [1 ]
机构
[1] Natl Tech Univ Athens, Heroon Polytech 9, Zografos 15780, Greece
关键词
hourly wind speed; double cyclostationarity; stochastic modelling; Hurst-Kolmogorov dynamics; climacogram; uncertainty-bias; wind turbine;
D O I
10.1016/j.egypro.2015.07.851
中图分类号
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要
In this paper, we present a methodology to analyze processes of double cyclostationarity (e.g. daily and seasonal). This method preserves the marginal characteristics as well as the dependence structure of a process (through the use of climacogram). It consists of a normalization scheme with two periodicities. Furthermore, we apply it to a meteorological station in Greece and construct a stochastic model capable of preserving the Hurst-Kolmogorov behaviour. Finally, we produce synthetic time-series (based on aggregated Markovian processes) for the purpose of wind speed and energy production simulation (based on a proposed industrial wind turbine). (C) 2015 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecomons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
引用
收藏
页码:406 / 411
页数:6
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