Risk-return trade-off for European stock markets

被引:19
|
作者
Aslanidis, Nektarios [1 ]
Christiansen, Charlotte [2 ]
Savva, Christos S. [3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Rovira & Virgili, CREIP, Dept Econ, Avinguda Univ 1, Reus 43204, Catalonia, Spain
[2] Aarhus Univ, Dept Econ & Business, CREATES, Fuglesangs Alle 4, DK-8210 Aarhus V, Denmark
[3] Cyprus Univ Technol, Dept Commerce Finance & Shipping, POB 50329, CY-3603 Limassol, Cyprus
基金
新加坡国家研究基金会;
关键词
European stock markets; Factor model; Macro-finance predictors; Markov switching model; Quantile regressions; Risk-return trade-off; EXPECTED RETURNS; REGIME SWITCHES; VOLATILITY; PREMIUMS; US;
D O I
10.1016/j.irfa.2016.03.018
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
This paper adopts factor models with macro-finance predictors to test the intertemporal risk-return relation for 13 European stock markets from 1986 to 2012. We use country specific, euro area, and US macro-finance factors to determine the conditional volatility and conditional return. We find that the risk-return trade-off is generally negative. The Markov switching model documents that there is time-variation in this trade-off that is linked to the state of the economy, but not the business cycles. Quantile regressions show that the risk-return trade-off is stronger at the lowest quantile of the conditional return. (C) 2016 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:84 / 103
页数:20
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