Estimating the probability that a multidimensional random process reaches the boundary of a region

被引:2
|
作者
Semakov, S. L. [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Financial Univ, Moscow, Russia
[2] Moscow Inst Phys & Technol, Moscow, Russia
基金
俄罗斯基础研究基金会;
关键词
NOISE;
D O I
10.1134/S0005117915040062
中图分类号
TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号
0812 ;
摘要
We consider the problem of finding the probability of the event that a continuous random process reaches the boundary of a region first time on a given range of the independent variable. We propose a new approach to estimating the said probability related to studying the so-called conditional probabilities of a horizontal window: a) conditional probability of the event that at the moment when component xi (1)(x) of the n-dimensional process xi(x) = {xi (1)(x), aEuro broken vertical bar, xi (n) (x)} first drops under a given level on interval [x, x + Delta x) constraint (xi (2), aEuro broken vertical bar, xi (n) ) a D aS, R (n-1) holds, where D is a given region, given that it has dropped under this level at all; b) conditional probability, under the same condition as a), of the event that up until the moment of the first entry of component xi (1)(x) under a given level on interval [x, x + Delta x) this component had already crossed this level a certain number of times.
引用
收藏
页码:613 / 626
页数:14
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