GROWTH, CYCLES, ASSET PRICES AND FINANCE

被引:24
|
作者
Taylor, Lance [1 ]
机构
[1] New Sch Social Res, Washington, ME 04574 USA
关键词
D O I
10.1111/j.1467-999X.2010.04117.x
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Several Kaleckian models are set out. Harrod- and Domar-style investment functions are specified, and combined with distributive dynamics to generate Goodwin-style cycles. A counterclockwise cycle in a two-dimensional phase diagram for capacity utilization and the wage share is based on long-run profit-led demand and a profit squeeze at high activity levels, consistent with Domar. Harrod-style investment and short-run wage-led demand generate counterfactual clockwise cycles. Financial dynamics involving the equity valuation ratio are considered. Both the ratio and equity price inflation demonstrate positive own-feedback. The ratio can be stabilized cyclically by capital stock growth and/or rising household net worth or debt. Debt accumulation persists (or overshoots) after equity price inflation switches to a negative rate. A Minsky-style model with Harrodian investment can be stabilized by accumulation of business debt.
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页码:40 / 63
页数:24
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